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Mini-project Agriculture & Food

Mandi price forecast

Forecast weekly prices of onion, tomato or another crop so farmers can decide when to sell.

The brief

Onion and tomato prices swing wildly, and farmers often sell at the bottom. Forecast weekly mandi prices with seasonal patterns and arrivals, compare methods, and show how much a farmer could gain by timing the sale. Good looks like: forecasts that beat last year's pattern, honest back-testing, and a simple sell-or-wait signal.

What you will build

  1. Build weekly price and arrival series
  2. Explore seasonal patterns
  3. Compare seasonal-naive, ARIMA and gradient-boosted forecasts
  4. Back-test over past seasons
  5. Turn forecasts into a sell-or-wait signal

Free, open data to build it with

Check each dataset's licence before you publish your work. Your mentor gives your team its own version of the brief (data, scope or region), so every team's project is its own.

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