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Mini-project Retail, E-commerce & Consumer Goods

Marketing mix model for ad spend

Find which channels (TV, digital, print, offers) really drive sales and how to split the next budget.

The brief

A marketing head spends on four channels and credits whichever looks best on the day. Fit a model of weekly sales on spend by channel, with delayed effect and diminishing returns, estimate each channel's return, and recommend how to split the next budget. Good looks like: a model that recovers the true effects of the data you simulate, uncertainty shown, and a budget plan with the expected change in sales.

What you will build

  1. Simulate two years of weekly sales and spend
  2. Model carry-over and saturation of advertising
  3. Fit a regression and check it
  4. Estimate return per channel with a range
  5. Optimise the budget split
  6. Write a plan for a marketing head

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