Supply chain demand and late-delivery risk model
Inspired by publicly reported work at Nestlé
Forecast demand and predict which orders will ship late, then show planners where to act first.
The brief
Nestlé has written about upgrading its digital core so it can use AI and automation at scale across its operations. Build a supply chain analytics product of your own on an open supply chain dataset: forecast demand by product and region, predict which orders will be delivered late, and give planners a ranked list of risks with reasons. Good looks like: forecasts that beat a seasonal baseline, a late-delivery model judged on recall at a fixed alert budget, explanations per order, and a planner dashboard.
Read the case first
What Nestlé has said in public about this kind of work, on its own pages:
- Nestlé's digital core upgrade enables AI and automation at scale (Nestlé) ↗
- Digital innovation in research and development (Nestlé) ↗
Make it your own
Plan for an Indian food business: a dairy cooperative, a spice exporter or a bakery chain, with monsoon delays and festival peaks. Add one risk the dataset does not have (weather or road closures) as synthetic data and show what it changes.
AITeky has no link with Nestlé, which has not reviewed or endorsed this brief. The brief only draws on what the company has published, uses open data rather than its data, and is a learning exercise: don't present your project as Nestlé's work or system.
What you will build
- Explore orders, products, markets and shipping modes
- Forecast monthly demand by product and region
- Predict late delivery with gradient boosting
- Explain risk per order with SHAP
- Rank where planners should act first
- Build a planner dashboard and a weekly summary
Free, open data to build it with
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